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Red77
522927.8
1054714.9
550938.9
Blue57
964820.2
560337.7
1066712.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91772040601001201407757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+30Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
12Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +40
12Coral scored#5
43Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
61Total teleop21
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
77Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.2
38.238.0
Auto7.2
Teleop25.5
End6.3
red by 1.2
37.71.0
37.036.0
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
Second
27.80.2
26.226.1
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
red by 7.6
9648
#20
20.21.0
21.220.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Third
14.90.2
15.114.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End0.8
red by 2.2
12.71.0
13.712.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned