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Red82
598225.2
608832.9
1058719.4
Blue106
261930.1
973613.2
968519.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84530204010012014016082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points18
82Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#12
32.90.6
31.432.0
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
red by 2.8
30.12.2
27.029.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End7.4
Second
5982
#33
25.20.6
23.123.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.0
End3.4
red by 5.7
9685
#17
19.52.2
16.418.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
Third
19.40.6
18.819.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.5
End3.0
red by 6.1
9736
#23
13.22.2
11.013.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned