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Red160
377048.5
968519.5
521664.9
Blue58
542429.5
603325.7
570414.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1516905010020025016058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+86Teleop
+94Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
88Total teleop33
Reef
9L4#3
8L3#1
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +102
8Foul points0
160Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.5
64.164.5
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End1.6
red by 35.4
5424
#21
29.50.3
29.629.4
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End3.3
Second
48.50.5
47.648.1
Auto5.6
Teleop32.6
End10.3
red by 22.8
6033
#13
25.70.3
25.825.5
Auto3.7
Teleop16.5
End5.5
Third
9685
#17
19.50.5
18.719.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End6.5
red by 5.2
5704
#14
14.30.3
14.514.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0