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Red86
519338.5
851736.7
1069023.5
Blue129
967415.7
560337.7
522927.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110845010015086129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+45
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
11Coral scored#20
40Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
18Processor points12
8Net points28
26Algae points40
66Total teleop111
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#9
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
86Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.4
38.838.4
Auto5.3
Teleop27.3
End5.9
red by 0.7
37.71.0
36.037.0
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End4.5
Second
8517
#10
36.70.4
37.036.6
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End2.0
red by 8.9
27.81.0
26.127.1
Auto4.9
Teleop21.5
End1.4
Third
23.50.4
23.923.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End2.1
red by 7.8
9674
#34
15.71.0
14.015.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2