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Red154
553824.9
516651.4
317558.3
Blue93
608832.9
675326.5
959416.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155805010020025015493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+55Teleop
+69Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points16
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points33
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
88Total teleop57
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points8
154Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.5
56.356.7
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.8
red by 25.4
6088
#12
32.90.1
32.032.1
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Second
51.40.5
49.449.8
Auto9.9
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 24.9
6753
#16
26.50.1
25.625.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End6.9
Third
5538
#27
24.90.5
22.823.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 8.1
9594
#22
16.80.1
15.916.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End1.2