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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910805015020025049109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+52
Endgame+58
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +49
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
40Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points2
49Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.24.4
21.016.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
blue by 40.3
67
#3
58.50.2
39.239.0
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
Second
308
#25
13.54.4
22.518.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 15.3
3668
#20
28.80.2
29.028.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Third
7178
#38
11.34.4
28.323.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 2.4
6344
#30
13.60.2
24.023.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed