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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105650501502002506329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
41Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
63Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.53.5
33.129.6
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 13.3
27.24.1
24.920.8
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
Second
548
#13
31.43.5
31.928.4
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
red by 14.3
17.29.6
23.313.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Third
7553
#18
17.23.5
23.820.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
red by 2.8
14.45.8
19.513.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed