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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88894060801001201404682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#8
21Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
31Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points2
46Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.35.1
30.125.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
blue by 19.8
51.10.6
31.631.0
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
Second
6753
#26
17.55.1
25.820.8
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
blue by 4.1
9182
#19
21.60.6
23.823.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Third
6538
#34
13.05.1
21.015.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 0.8
7225
#14
12.20.6
22.221.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned