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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957302040601201401609637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +48
15Coral scored#3
54Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
64Total teleop16
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
96Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.0
31.032.0
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
red by 19.7
548
#13
31.43.7
28.424.7
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
Second
4362
#29
25.81.0
34.235.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
red by 12.1
6344
#30
13.63.7
23.820.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Third
8895
#32
13.31.0
16.017.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 2.0
8519
#31
11.23.7
12.89.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed