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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107760501508969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
68Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
89Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.8
29.428.5
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
red by 16.7
3668
#20
28.81.2
28.827.6
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Second
503
#33
25.20.8
29.929.0
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
red by 10.2
7202
#36
15.01.2
19.818.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
Third
4779
#17
22.90.8
29.428.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
red by 9.9
6538
#34
13.01.2
15.914.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed