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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102640501508621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+65Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave3
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +49
11Coral scored#3
39Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
63Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
86Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
58.50.4
39.039.4
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
red by 41.0
6753
#26
17.54.0
20.816.8
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
40.50.4
29.630.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 28.2
9204
#35
12.34.0
14.410.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
Third
17.20.4
13.714.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 5.0
7225
#14
12.24.0
21.517.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed