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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7963020401001201401605057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
40Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
50Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#21
28.33.4
32.428.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 1.1
27.21.3
20.819.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
Second
14.43.4
13.710.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
blue by 5.0
19.43.5
19.916.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
Third
9455
#37
9.23.4
20.717.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.7
blue by 9.0
18.21.3
16.515.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed