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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68900501502002505722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
6Coral scored#3
23Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
35Total teleop11
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
57Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.52.2
23.921.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
red by 7.7
4362
#29
25.86.4
40.634.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Second
9771
#27
13.62.2
19.717.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 0.7
7221
#15
14.26.4
17.110.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
8895
#32
13.32.2
18.216.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 2.0
8519
#31
11.26.4
19.212.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed