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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781040501502002503006580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+23
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
45Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
65Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#22
24.51.8
31.429.6
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
blue by 15.6
40.12.3
35.232.9
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
Second
20.92.1
18.116.0
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
blue by 8.2
5066
#11
29.12.3
22.119.7
Auto10.2
Teleop17.4
End1.5
Third
7202
#36
15.01.8
21.619.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
blue by 7.8
4779
#17
22.92.3
31.729.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed