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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100650501502007164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+3Teleop
+1Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
48Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points0
71Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.13.7
32.929.2
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
red by 14.3
66
#10
25.91.2
21.820.6
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
Second
4392
#21
28.33.7
28.925.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 14.8
9771
#27
13.61.2
17.516.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Third
7553
#18
17.23.7
20.316.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
red by 3.7
308
#25
13.51.2
18.116.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed