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Red57
556127.2
436225.8
477922.9
Blue105
889513.3
722512.2
6758.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988305015020057105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +53
3Coral scored#15
10Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
18Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
12Foul points8
57Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.25.2
19.514.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
blue by 31.3
67
#3
58.51.6
39.441.0
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
Second
4362
#29
25.85.2
35.230.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
red by 12.5
8895
#32
13.31.6
17.018.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Third
4779
#17
22.95.2
28.523.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
red by 10.7
7225
#14
12.21.6
17.519.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned