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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60850501001502004788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
30Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points12
47Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#20
28.81.5
27.626.1
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
blue by 2.6
31.30.2
22.222.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
Second
9204
#35
12.31.5
10.49.0
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
blue by 12.3
7056
#22
24.50.2
26.326.6
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Third
9455
#37
9.21.5
14.312.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.7
blue by 4.5
6344
#30
13.60.2
20.120.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned