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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485702040801005470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
39Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points6
54Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.2
18.418.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
red by 11.8
9182
#19
21.60.3
20.721.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Second
7813
#39
12.20.2
13.413.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 6.0
18.20.3
15.215.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Third
8519
#31
11.20.2
9.18.9
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 3.2
14.40.3
10.210.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned