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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615802040801001203323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
5Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
25Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points12
33Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.4
15.514.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
blue by 4.6
4779
#17
22.94.0
23.419.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Second
7553
#18
17.21.4
16.615.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
red by 3.0
7221
#15
14.24.0
8.54.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
7813
#39
12.21.4
13.111.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 0.7
6538
#34
13.04.0
14.810.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned