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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6364455055607075806264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
41Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
62Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.7
22.423.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
blue by 8.8
40.11.5
29.330.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
Second
8895
#32
13.30.7
18.619.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 6.1
19.41.5
12.313.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
Third
8519
#31
11.20.7
8.99.6
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 1.0
9204
#35
12.31.5
9.010.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed