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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8657020401001201403742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
24Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
37Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#33
25.23.6
29.626.0
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
blue by 3.1
4392
#21
28.30.8
25.825.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Second
6344
#30
13.63.6
20.416.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 1.4
7202
#36
15.00.8
18.818.0
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
Third
7225
#14
12.23.6
19.215.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 2.1
7221
#15
14.20.8
4.53.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed