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Red69
705624.5
918221.6
54831.4
Blue81
6758.5
755317.2
30813.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86880501001506981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
0Teleop0
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#7
27Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
49Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
69Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#13
31.40.6
24.323.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
blue by 27.0
67
#3
58.50.6
41.041.6
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
Second
7056
#22
24.50.6
26.625.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 7.3
7553
#18
17.20.6
15.215.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
Third
9182
#19
21.60.6
21.020.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
red by 8.2
308
#25
13.50.6
17.117.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned