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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81902040601001201409783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+6
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
62Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
97Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.7
36.838.4
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
red by 25.3
66
#10
25.90.4
21.220.8
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
Second
27.21.7
14.316.0
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
red by 1.4
4362
#29
25.80.4
30.129.6
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Third
9455
#37
9.21.7
12.814.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.7
blue by 10.3
7660
#24
19.50.4
20.920.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed