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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110002040608012014016058138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+46
Endgame+56
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +40
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points72
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
46Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points24
58Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#20
28.81.5
30.328.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
blue by 22.4
51.11.8
38.440.2
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
Second
6753
#26
17.51.5
19.518.0
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
blue by 5.3
4779
#17
22.91.8
19.421.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
8519
#31
11.21.5
9.68.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 8.3
7660
#24
19.51.8
20.522.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned