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Red120
612033.5
918221.6
102340.1
Blue118
54831.4
94559.2
6758.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8593204060100120140160120118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+6
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points18
29Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
77Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#8
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
120Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.15.0
30.835.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
blue by 18.3
67
#3
58.53.9
41.645.5
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
Second
33.55.0
21.426.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
red by 2.0
548
#13
31.43.9
23.627.5
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
Third
9182
#19
21.65.0
20.425.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
red by 12.5
9455
#37
9.23.9
14.518.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed