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Red100
30813.5
283431.3
781312.2
Blue106
6625.9
722114.2
556127.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65470204080100120100106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
56Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
24Foul points24
100Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.6
23.123.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
red by 4.1
27.21.6
16.017.6
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
Second
308
#25
13.50.6
17.618.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 12.4
66
#10
25.91.6
20.822.4
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
Third
7813
#39
12.20.6
11.812.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 2.0
7221
#15
14.21.6
3.75.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned