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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8485506070809010011012075104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +27
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
61Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#7
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
75Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#20
28.81.4
28.827.4
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
blue by 2.7
548
#13
31.41.7
27.529.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
Second
503
#33
25.21.4
27.626.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
red by 5.7
7660
#24
19.51.7
22.324.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
Third
19.41.4
13.211.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
red by 2.2
17.21.7
19.020.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed