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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645502040801001207437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
5Coral scored#4
19Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
31Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
20Foul points0
74Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.5
17.617.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
red by 9.7
6753
#26
17.51.7
18.016.3
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
9771
#27
13.60.5
20.519.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 0.1
6344
#30
13.61.7
16.014.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Third
7225
#14
12.20.5
15.014.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
red by 0.9
7178
#38
11.31.7
13.011.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned