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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9880406012014016010995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
68Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
109Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.12.0
40.242.2
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
red by 10.7
40.52.3
29.131.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
Second
33.52.0
26.428.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
red by 5.1
4392
#21
28.32.3
23.726.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Third
18.22.0
15.717.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
blue by 2.7
20.92.3
18.520.8
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed