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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63790204010012049101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+48
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
36Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
49Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9182
#19
21.62.1
25.323.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
blue by 18.5
40.12.0
35.137.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
Second
17.22.1
20.618.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 8.1
503
#33
25.22.0
26.228.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Third
9204
#35
12.32.1
9.77.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
red by 1.0
8519
#31
11.22.0
6.88.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned