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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67582040801008166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
29Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
50Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
81Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#11
29.12.8
21.324.0
Auto10.2
Teleop17.4
End1.5
red by 0.4
3668
#20
28.81.8
27.429.2
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Second
66
#10
25.92.8
20.122.9
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
red by 11.6
7221
#15
14.21.8
6.68.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
19.42.8
11.814.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
red by 6.1
8895
#32
13.31.8
13.315.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed