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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9367204060801001201409547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+34Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
73Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
95Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.51.4
38.439.8
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
red by 21.0
7056
#22
24.51.5
28.326.8
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Second
4362
#29
25.81.4
27.629.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
red by 2.9
4779
#17
22.91.5
21.219.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
6753
#26
17.51.4
16.317.7
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 5.3
7813
#39
12.21.5
11.19.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed