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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748320406010012014016050103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
36Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
50Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#24
19.52.7
24.021.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 14.0
33.52.5
28.330.8
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
Second
14.42.7
15.813.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
blue by 16.9
31.32.5
24.927.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
Third
9771
#27
13.62.7
19.917.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 1.4
7225
#14
12.22.5
14.517.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned