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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10162020408012014016012496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
66Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points8
124Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
58.51.0
48.549.5
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
red by 31.3
27.21.7
17.118.7
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
Second
4392
#21
28.31.0
26.027.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 7.4
20.91.7
20.822.5
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
7178
#38
11.31.0
11.212.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 5.9
7553
#18
17.21.7
18.420.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned