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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586202040801001201405543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
27Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points2
55Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.1
22.521.4
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
blue by 10.5
548
#13
31.42.0
29.327.3
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
Second
6538
#34
13.01.1
11.510.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 1.5
14.42.0
13.011.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Third
7225
#14
12.21.1
17.015.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 1.1
8895
#32
13.32.0
15.113.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed