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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979870809011012013010577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
75Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
105Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.6
31.932.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 11.7
3668
#20
28.82.2
29.227.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Second
4362
#29
25.80.6
29.029.6
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
blue by 2.5
4392
#21
28.32.2
27.124.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Third
18.20.6
20.721.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
blue by 1.3
7660
#24
19.52.2
21.219.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed