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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847702040601001201401608982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+11Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
67Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
89Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.2
37.137.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
red by 6.7
33.50.7
31.532.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
Second
7056
#22
24.50.2
24.424.6
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 7.3
7553
#18
17.20.8
19.119.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
Third
6753
#26
17.50.2
16.817.0
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 0.3
17.20.7
17.718.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed