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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389702060801201401603067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#12
11Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
15Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
30Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7221
#15
14.20.6
11.210.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 14.6
3668
#20
28.81.1
27.025.9
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Second
6344
#30
13.60.6
10.810.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 12.1
4362
#29
25.81.1
29.628.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Third
9771
#27
13.60.6
13.913.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 8.1
9182
#19
21.61.2
19.718.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed