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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506402040801001203560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points35
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
22Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
35Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7202
#36
15.01.2
16.415.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
blue by 10.8
66
#10
25.90.4
23.624.0
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
Second
7225
#14
12.21.1
15.914.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 6.0
18.20.4
21.221.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Third
7178
#38
11.31.1
11.410.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Level
8519
#31
11.20.4
7.98.4
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed