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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6673204060801008447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+23Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
59Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
84Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.3
32.534.8
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 15.2
503
#33
25.21.4
30.228.9
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Second
4779
#17
22.92.5
16.118.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
red by 5.3
6753
#26
17.51.3
17.015.7
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Third
8895
#32
13.32.1
11.513.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 0.2
308
#25
13.51.3
14.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed