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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52550204060801001205150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+5Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
23Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
51Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#11
29.10.3
29.429.1
Auto10.2
Teleop17.4
End1.5
red by 3.9
503
#33
25.20.2
26.826.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Second
9771
#27
13.60.3
14.314.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 0.6
6538
#34
13.00.2
13.113.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Third
8519
#31
11.20.3
11.511.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 1.0
7813
#39
12.20.2
12.412.2
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed