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Red106
332240.5
54831.4
477922.9
Blue119
283431.3
720215.0
366828.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10786406080100120140160106119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
81Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#7
9L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points6
106Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.2
40.340.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 9.1
31.30.8
31.432.2
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
Second
548
#13
31.40.2
31.231.4
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
red by 2.7
3668
#20
28.80.8
28.929.6
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Third
4779
#17
22.90.2
22.622.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
red by 7.8
7202
#36
15.00.9
15.116.0
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2