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Red186
634413.6
6758.5
365651.1
Blue141
716645.5
766019.5
102340.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512580100160180200186141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +29
28Coral scored#20
99Coral points72
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
24Processor points18
12Net points16
36Algae points34
135Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#10
9L3#5
7L2#3
7L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
186Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
58.51.1
57.358.3
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
red by 13.0
45.50.4
45.145.5
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
Second
51.11.1
49.951.0
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
red by 11.0
40.10.4
39.840.2
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
Third
6344
#30
13.61.1
12.413.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 5.9
7660
#24
19.50.4
19.219.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8