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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8998204060801201401605193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
39Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points12
51Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.9
32.231.3
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
blue by 2.1
33.50.3
34.334.0
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
Second
3668
#20
28.80.9
29.628.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
red by 3.5
503
#33
25.20.3
26.125.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Third
7202
#36
15.01.0
16.015.0
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
blue by 6.6
9182
#19
21.60.3
22.522.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2