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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131100608012014016018014473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+61Teleop
+73Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +65
20Coral scored#9
72Coral points33
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
116Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points2
144Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.5
45.546.0
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
red by 12.0
33.50.5
34.033.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
Second
40.10.5
40.240.7
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
red by 14.9
503
#33
25.20.5
25.825.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Third
7660
#24
19.50.5
19.520.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 2.1
9182
#19
21.60.6
22.221.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2