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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087140608010012014016012391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#12
70Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
96Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points6
123Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.3
40.340.7
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 13.3
27.20.2
27.627.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
Second
548
#13
31.40.3
31.331.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
red by 13.2
18.20.2
18.618.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Third
4779
#17
22.90.4
22.723.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
red by 9.3
9771
#27
13.60.2
14.014.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7