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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9685406012014016098103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
66Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
98Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#11
29.10.4
28.829.1
Auto10.2
Teleop17.4
End1.5
blue by 2.2
31.30.7
30.831.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
Second
4392
#21
28.30.4
28.028.3
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
blue by 0.5
3668
#20
28.80.7
28.228.9
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Third
4362
#29
25.80.4
25.425.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
red by 10.8
7202
#36
15.00.7
14.415.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2