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Red111
521652.3
603322.9
353651.5
Blue117
535241.5
968513.5
400339.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389850150200111117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points37
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
72Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
111Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.3
51.651.3
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 10.9
41.50.5
42.042.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
51.50.3
50.750.4
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 11.8
39.60.5
40.240.6
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
Third
6033
#22
22.90.3
22.121.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 9.4
9685
#37
13.50.5
14.014.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5