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Red137
521652.3
603322.9
353651.5
Blue94
535241.5
968513.5
400339.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137995015020013794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +38
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
102Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
137Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.3
51.351.6
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 10.9
41.50.1
42.442.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
51.50.3
50.450.7
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 11.8
39.60.1
40.640.5
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
Third
6033
#22
22.90.3
21.822.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 9.4
9685
#37
13.50.1
14.514.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5