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Red46
171123.1
535241.5
553434.7
Blue38
653317.9
598219.0
498317.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785402040601001204638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +7
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
24Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
46Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.8
20.217.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
red by 22.5
5982
#24
19.01.8
14.612.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Second
34.72.8
23.921.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
red by 16.8
6533
#19
17.91.8
14.713.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
1711
#14
23.12.8
21.018.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.7
red by 6.2
4983
#20
17.01.8
19.617.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed